Reuters Gold Long Term Technical Analysis

By Phil Smith
Wednesday, March 10, 2010 11:34 CST

Homepage     Glossary

 



Daily Charts

 

HANG SENG

SHANGHAI

SENSEX

GOLD

OIL

Weekly Charts

 

HANG SENG

SHANGHAI

NIKKEI

SENSEX

GOLD

OIL

S&P 500

DLR TRADE WEIGHTED

Longer term (weekly chart). The weekly gold chart is still bearish as it stands with the MACD still pointing to the downside. However, we need to watch closely as the fast line from this study is starting to move up. As it stands however the chart is bearish for gold.

A good 100 pct Fibonacci Projection target nicely reached and now a bounce off the 61.8 percent level which was good resistance on the way up.   

As per the daily comment we are forming a topping pattern but this has yet to complete. Given the MACD this is possible in the coming weeks and that will set up a move down to around $1,000.

The 40 year chart also puts the rally since 2005 in some perspective. It’s interesting to see how gold staged a 2-year long sideways consolidation when it reached the old 1980 highs. Also note how well Fibonacci works with gold and how perfectly the 38.2 percent retracement was met after the major rally this time. If you study Fibonacci on gold it works very well indeed both in terms of 38.2 percent and 61.8 percent retracements.

See the glossary link above for an explanation of the studies used above.       

Reuters Market Technicals

By Phil Smith mailto:technicals@reutersindia.net

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